Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.033395 0.039245 0.045711 0.053374 0.062192 0.072005 0.083735
2025-02-16 0.022403 0.029399 0.037914 0.048985 0.062931 0.079846 0.101836
2025-02-23 0.015759 0.022873 0.032322 0.045662 0.063851 0.087609 0.120774
2025-03-02 0.011688 0.018605 0.028549 0.043660 0.065753 0.096526 0.142187
2025-03-09 0.009322 0.016130 0.026636 0.043672 0.070143 0.109113 0.170026
2025-03-16 0.007233 0.013558 0.023999 0.041999 0.071590 0.117430 0.192552
2025-03-23 0.006296 0.012657 0.023787 0.044005 0.078875 0.135249 0.231348
2025-03-30 0.005291 0.011390 0.022685 0.044267 0.083227 0.148810 0.264825
2025-04-06 0.004317 0.009948 0.020978 0.043117 0.084889 0.157988 0.291943
2025-04-13 0.003578 0.008801 0.019593 0.042282 0.086899 0.167836 0.321058
2025-04-20 0.003266 0.008499 0.019812 0.044552 0.094919 0.189069 0.372179
2025-04-27 0.002920 0.008036 0.019605 0.045904 0.101291 0.207887 0.420675
2025-05-04 0.002383 0.006997 0.017988 0.044106 0.101271 0.214962 0.448648
2025-05-11 0.002017 0.006300 0.017014 0.043547 0.103726 0.227089 0.487532
2025-05-18 0.001670 0.005558 0.015783 0.042189 0.104271 0.235443 0.519854
2025-05-25 0.001399 0.004956 0.014773 0.041172 0.105402 0.245072 0.555633
2025-06-01 0.001234 0.004623 0.014396 0.041635 0.109955 0.262325 0.608684
2025-06-08 0.001027 0.004093 0.013370 0.040264 0.109981 0.269770 0.641712
2025-06-15 0.000961 0.004021 0.013626 0.042323 0.118602 0.297082 0.720027
2025-06-22 0.000851 0.003758 0.013267 0.042644 0.122917 0.315055 0.779364
2025-06-29 0.000720 0.003376 0.012463 0.041567 0.123503 0.324449 0.820290
2025-07-06 0.000616 0.003060 0.011798 0.040778 0.124726 0.335445 0.865824
2025-07-13 0.000585 0.003041 0.012111 0.042984 0.134330 0.367582 0.963315